Graham and most other successful fundamental style investors
have recounted experiences where they hit upon a big investment simply by reading what others had glossed over.
Whether it be Graham’s railroad stock, Buffet’s initial investments, India’s
Motilal Oswal & Rakesh Jhunjhunwala; they all have benefitted immensely
from reading annual reports/corporate filings/prospectuses. In the USA, while
the dumbing down has reduced it, there are still websites like 10Qdetective
which do this for you.
In India, there is no comparable thing. And going by the
quality of analyst reports, it is doubtful whether many of them do beyond
cut-paste. One may argue that the ‘unsaid/unwritten’ works more than the
written word in Asia-especially India. But then, with IFRS being in from
FY2011-12 annual reporting period onwards, one must note that companies can get
away with murdering the accounting rules-as long as they disclose it. And this
is not a far fetched case. Enron did
disclose its off balance sheet partnerships for years, it is just that
nobody bothered to read those notes for a long-long time. It took diligent
readers to spot the error. Michael Burry
made a fortune on the subprime crisis by going through bond
prospectuses(each of them hundreds of pages long!). And Buffet himself prefers to avoid the information overload in mass
media, by selecting his reading and then closing his sensory organs to other
stimuli.
So
what is the way out? Analyst training is an option, but what about
the retail investor who wishes to invest on his own? Perhaps, an elective
should be offered as an advanced financial inclusion module
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